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There is so much talk about global warming but what is it?
Global warming is a result of the build-up of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. These, in turn, are being released into the air by
man-made activities such as fossil-fuel burning in power plants, vehicles, cutting trees,
etc. Besides, we have created new, more powerful GHGs (such as chlorofluorocarbons, CFCs)
and released them into the atmosphere. Greenhouse gases are very efficient trappers of the
suns heat and over the last century, have contributed to a rise in the average
surface temperature of the earth.
More on global
warming |
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Is global warming actually taking place? How do we know?
Knowledge about global warming related to man's
activities comes mostly from indirect sources of information. One form of evidence comes from
studies on the annual rings of tree trunks. These are pointers to the growth of a tree:
rapid growth suggests higher temperatures and increased moisture in the environment. For
example, researchers studying trees in Mongolia have found unusually high growth rates
during the last century indicating that temperatures were higher in this period.
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Are
changes in the earth's climate being observed for the first time its history?
No, these changes are not anything new. Climate
change is a natural phenomenon and has been occurring ever since the earth was formed.
There have been well-marked warm and cold periods for the last 400 000 years. The last Ice
Age occurred about 10,000 years ago and large parts of Europe and North America were
covered with ice. Between the 10th and 14th centuries, the global temperature rose by
about 1ºC. So, climate change is by no means, anything new but there is an important
difference between what happened then and whats happening now. Historically, climate
change took place naturally, but the latest phenomenon is a result of mans
interference with natural processes, at a rate too rapid to allow ecosystems and their
habitat to adapt. If you want to know more about changes that took place in the past,
visit the global
warming section of The Why Flies web site, developed by the University of
Wisconsin-Madison.
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So,
changes in climate have also occurred in the past. What about, say, the last 50 years
has anything changed in that period? Yes, it has. Climatic patterns for the last 35-50 years show that man-made
activities have definitely had an impact. Models created by scientists to explain the
variations in temperature over the last 140 years cannot be explained by natural factors
alone. The best agreement (between actual observations and estimations) is obtained when a
combination of both, man-made (such as GHGs) and natural factors (volcanic
eruptions, for example) is taken into account. Closer home, in Nepal,
scientists have been observing increasing temperatures in the Himalayas since the 1970s
which could lead to floods and lakes bursting their banks.
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What
might the consequences of climate change be? A warmer climate will change rainfall and snowfall patterns, lead to increased
droughts and floods, cause melting of glaciers and polar ice sheets, and result in a
sea-level rise. This, in turn, will affect water resources, forests and other natural
ecological systems, agriculture, power generation, infrastructure, tourism, and human
health. Most importantly, a rise in ocean temperature as a consequence of
climate change could affect the intensity and frequency of a weather phenomenon called the
El Nino in the Pacific Ocean.
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What is
El Nino? El Nino is a shift in ocean
temperatures and atmospheric conditions in the tropical Pacific that disrupts weather
around the world. It is a poorly understood cyclical phenomenon that can lead to terrible
extremes of weather all over the world. The warm El Nino phase typically lasts for
810 months or so.
More
on El Nino
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The
consequences of climate change sound worrying. Is there something you and I can do about
it? Plenty. There are several things
at the society, community and individual level that we can do. The very first initiative
is to share with as many people as we can, what we know about climate change. We can help
to create a level of opinion that will convince our policy-makers and industry that action
is necessary.
As an individual, you can
contribute by doing simple things such as switching off fans and lights when not in
use, and using public transport whenever possible.
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It
appears that climate change will affect everyone on this planet. That means all of us need
to get together to find a solution. Are we doing that? Yes, most nations are getting together under the aegis of the United
Nations to think of solutions and ways to achieve them. Some prominent efforts are the Montreal Protocol (1987)
which sought to phase out CFCs (chlorofluorocarbons) and the UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change), which aims to reduce GHGs. Countries agreed on the UNFCCC at the Rio Earth Summit in 1992.
This Summit brought global attention to the fact that environmental problems were linked
to economic conditions and poverty. It laid stress on sustainable development and
conservation. In 1997, the UNFCCC reached a historic agreement to reduce GHG emissions in
Kyoto. The most significant part of the Kyoto Protocol
was the binding commitments by countries to reduce emissions.
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Is our government doing anything in this area? Despite the fact that India's contributions to greenhouse gas
emissions are very small, the Government is still taking measures to introduce
climate-friendly initiatives.The Ministry
of Environment and Forests is the nodal agency for climate change issues in India.
India has initiated several climate-friendly measures, particularly in the area of
renewable energy. It has one of the most active renewable energy programmes besides having
perhaps, the only dedicated ministry for non-conventional energy sources in the world. In
the rural areas, solar photovoltaic power systems have been put to use for lighting homes
and pumping water, while other applications include railway signalling and TV
transmission.Our country is among the top five in the world in the generation of wind
power, with an installed capacity of 1507 MW. Another major climate-friendly initiative
has been launched in the area of forestry. A National Forests Policy has been drawn up, in
which the programme of Joint Forest Management looks at meeting the requirements of fuel
wood, fodder and timber with the local peoples participation.The Indian government
signed the UNFCCC in June 1992. Under theConvention it has to make an inventory of the
countrys GHG emissions, and, identify areas vulnerable to the effects of climate
change.The UNFCCC promotes and reviews the implementation of the Convention through
decisions taken at annually-held meetings of the Conference of Parties (COP). This
years conference (COP 8)
is being hosted by India and will be held in New Delhi between 23 October and 1 November,
2002.
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