Ministry of Environment and Forests, Government of IndiaClimate change
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Vulnerability and adaptation

       
greyarrow.jpg (4688 bytes) Forests

One-tenth of the world's known species of higher altitude plants and animals occur in the Himalayas. In addition, some countries in Asia are centres of origin for many crop and fruit-tree species; as such, they are important sources of genes for their wild relatives.

In 1995, approximately 10% of known species in the Himalayas were listed as threatened, and the number of species on the verge of extinction has increased since then. As a consequence of global warming, the present distribution of species in high-elevation ecosystems is projected to shift to higher elevations, although the rates of vegetation change are expected to be slow and colonization success would be constrained by increased erosion and overland flows in the highly dissected and steep terrains of the Himalayan mountain range.

Source IPCC Third Assessment Report: Climate Change 2001 (Impacts, Adaptation & Vulnerability, Chapter 5, Ecosystems and their goods and services)
                       
Increased temperature and rainfall will probably increase the productivity of tropical forests, result in a migration of forest types to higher elevations and transform drier forest types to moister ones (Ravindranath N H and Sukumar R 1998).

It is estimated that the decline in soil moisture caused by warmer temperatures will reduce teak productivity from 5.4 m3/ha to 5.07 m3/ha (Achanta A N and Kanetkar R 1996). The same study suggests that a decline in the productivity of moist deciduous forests may take place, from 1.8 m3/ha to 1.5 m3/ha.
      

Disclaimer The outcome of these studies reflects the author's viewpoint and not that of the Government of India.

  
References

redbullet.jpg (4598 bytes) Achanta A N and Kanetkar R. 1996
Impact of climate change on forest productivity: a case study of Kerala, India
Paper presented at the Asian and Pacific Workshop on Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment, 15-19 January1996, Manila, The Philippines

redbullet.jpg (4598 bytes) Ravindranath N H and Sukumar R. 1998
Climate change and tropical forests in India
Climatic Change 39(2-3): 563-581

 

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